#Federal Reserve

NVDA at $201.68, up 8.1% YTD. Oil crash + 10-year at 4.26% set up 9-13% multiple expansion into May 20 earnings.

Brent crude crashed to $86.84 on April 17, 2026. The $76B wealth transfer is underway. 5 S&P 500 stocks with asymmetric upside: DAL, FDX, CCL, F, WMT.

Dow futures drop 517 points as Iran ceasefire collapses and Trump orders Hormuz blockade. Goldman Sachs earnings Monday. DJIA closed at 47,916 Friday.

QQQ gained 4.1% for its notable week since November 2025. Iran ceasefire, March CPI at 3.3%, and 660B AI capex drove Nasdaq-100 to 611.

March 2026 CPI rose 0.9% on a 21.2% gasoline spike, but core came in at 0.2% and 2.6% annually. Why it gives the Fed cover and how markets absorbed the print.

Fed Chair Powell says he's watching private credit 'super carefully' and sees no need to hike rates despite $114 oil. Treasury yields drop 10bps.

March 2026 jobs report preview: consensus +57K nonfarm payrolls, Good Friday release, and what it means for stocks, the Fed, and your portfolio.

Moody's AI model at 49%. Goldman at 30%. Full recession probability breakdown, warning signs, portfolio strategies & key dates to watch.

Jerome Powell warns on Big Tech's trillion-dollar valuations post-Fed rate cut. Will high valuations survive the end of cheap liquidity? A reality check for investors.

Bitcoin and Ethereum dip ahead of the Fed’s 2025 rate decision. Market eyes macro signals, Kraken’s OTC trends, and PayPal’s stablecoin expansion post-GENIUS Act.

Polymarket puts 96.3% odds on no Fed cut at the July 29–30 FOMC, despite Trump’s calls. Markets expect status quo until later 2025.

After a month of volatility and uncertainty in the US stock market, the dark clouds seem to shatter for Bitcoin as Trump announced a trade deal with the